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no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage05/" }, { "stage": 6, "change": "Background assessment", "result_scope": "Source-only3-D scenario", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "Unvalidated surface-only CAMS background excluded; zero initial and external background is an attribution assumption.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T07:15:07.247134+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "64230ba89f0bc43f6bd505e675bf2583952bbf4060f0aca43e558163c86babeb", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 331.85199999809265, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 252.78000020980835, "worker_data_seconds": 24.12657141685486, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 54.94542837142944, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/deposition/actual_flow_daily_3d.npz", "native_field_sha256": "8229728ff5dc317ddef8d951977522984cdacd4edec5455941673c5fad672965", "horizontal_bin_m": 2000, "vertical_layers": 13, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 86400, "sampling": "Daily fields; 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Four outlets share a2km cell; seed and doubled-count tests expose severe local sampling noise.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T07:19:34.205518+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "19c720ab51ec372d501694c69919204030f244f2a1f994df05c9d079542a3487", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 180.79499983787537, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 165.16499972343445, "worker_data_seconds": 13.66700005531311, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 2.318000078201294, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/sampling_checks/actual_flow_daily_3d.npz", "native_field_sha256": "8229728ff5dc317ddef8d951977522984cdacd4edec5455941673c5fad672965", "horizontal_bin_m": 2000, "vertical_layers": 13, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 86400, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage07/" }, { "stage": 8, "change": "GPU implementation", "result_scope": "Same-physics backend agreement", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "Shared indexed RNG is new on both CPU/GPU. Compute speed excludes forcing, compilation and disk output; no concentration-skill claim.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T07:30:57.225054+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "e73c5d4228c044b8cbf6bc9296ae79615357c5b482f562bd1a2852d8c5420f92", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 543.5320000648499, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 452.2910010814667, "worker_data_seconds": 25.37960410118103, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 116.79939532279968, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/gpu_validation/gpu_comparison_fields.npz", "native_field_sha256": "c4ef47fc67b56d7168b4fd6b620506bfa237c8a0239515b97ab5e0e13e534350", "horizontal_bin_m": 2000, "vertical_layers": 13, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 86400, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage08/" }, { "stage": 9, "change": "Release implementation gates", "result_scope": "Implementation agreement only", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "Exact-zero controls, nonnegativity and budget checks pass. Zero precipitation RMSE compares the same broadcast input; it is not an independent weather-solver validation.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T07:35:11.334235+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "4c16b885e91b9816a80573c7155816fd718ab363417688ed34e4148e5d48485e", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 124.32499980926514, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 111.52799987792969, "worker_data_seconds": 12.154162883758545, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 0.6428370475769043, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/release_checks/gpu_release_candidate.npz", "native_field_sha256": "59b7ed976fd4e12f274a20df2118c6f20820b45abaf5b189a53cceaa78c15edc", "horizontal_bin_m": 2000, "vertical_layers": 13, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 86400, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage09/" }, { "stage": 10, "change": "Physical outlet release height", "result_scope": "Runtime birth-position verification", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "Both solvers release at20/50/80/65m AGL before transport/rise. EIA-documented heights are not independently surveyed as-built heights.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T07:40:07.114458+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "be7a18ecac364687b363c97ba241ee832073db769d908a4a770e41cb832097db", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 126.93899989128113, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 115.44099974632263, "worker_data_seconds": 10.666690587997437, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 0.8313095569610596, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/release_checks/gpu_release_candidate.npz", "native_field_sha256": "59b7ed976fd4e12f274a20df2118c6f20820b45abaf5b189a53cceaa78c15edc", "horizontal_bin_m": 2000, "vertical_layers": 13, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 86400, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage10/" }, { "stage": 11, "change": "Horizontal estimator refinement", "result_scope": "Local grid convergence not demonstrated", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "2 km, 1 km and 500 m density bins use shared particle paths; the meteorological input resolution is unchanged. Fine-bin receptor differences remain above the declared criterion.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T07:46:23.031128+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "876e285a09183667a3c8b4803af02b6f950b2729f4ed8f747a578a1a0424b191", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 275.4340000152588, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 252.71199989318848, "worker_data_seconds": 41.31699991226196, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 2.8680002689361572, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/grid_convergence/grid_500m_seed20261113.npz", "native_field_sha256": "038a30e75f177c86ea716658ef99f4ebe7a0ac5a2e7e01702431d14e1521c694", "horizontal_bin_m": 500, "vertical_layers": 13, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 5529600, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage11/" }, { "stage": 12, "change": "Particle-count refinement", "result_scope": "Sampling noise reduced; criteria not all met", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "5.53 to 353.89 million particles per realization at fixed physical emission mass. Two-seed daily-field differences fall to 8.42%, but successive-count field and receptor criteria still fail.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T07:56:43.929422+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "ca68821f12592ed35da1a0523d2576170f783be42cbec6f723056c3b163a372b", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 473.5919997692108, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 237.92299938201904, "worker_data_seconds": 333.05547070503235, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 51.46353006362915, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/particle_count_convergence/particles_8192_seed20261113.npz", "native_field_sha256": "196df95f880970e3f17129cbbc9000d27a48d548a395e14108fa5c6edcc322b7", "horizontal_bin_m": 500, "vertical_layers": 13, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 353894400, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage12/" }, { "stage": 13, "change": "Vertical estimator refinement", "result_scope": "Native profiles not converged", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "13, 26 and 52 layers with shared trajectories. The lowest layer is 6.25 m; 26-to-52-layer global and outlet profile changes exceed the declared limits. Fixed 0\u201325 m agreement is a common-volume consistency check.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T08:11:04.966079+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "2bb90563c5df0c6417195fc65b7bad5ff73a7afb0bc009d7b2f87f831a71a380", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 584.7870001792908, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 388.1090006828308, "worker_data_seconds": 321.4285855293274, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 84.36841464042664, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/vertical_grid_convergence/layers_52_seed20261113_sparse.npz", "native_field_sha256": "83eb869a0102f4a859720467b412c5c95dea612a456bb737e63757d5f83520b1", "horizontal_bin_m": 500, "vertical_layers": 52, "transport_dt_s": 120, "particles_per_realization": 353894400, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage13/" }, { "stage": 14, "change": "Transport timestep refinement", "result_scope": "Partial criteria pass; full-field criterion fails", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "120, 60 and 30 s with paired stochastic increments and fixed 120 s release events. Process totals and receptors meet their finest-step subcriteria; near-surface fields still differ by 13.6%.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T08:46:22.167748+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "647f88ebfe0cf6c6688c9750e567e88fe296e9148d3bed174b06479043c28200", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 1001.7679998874664, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 571.0369997024536, "worker_data_seconds": 712.6427280902863, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0, "worker_other_seconds": 153.96627163887024, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/timestep_convergence/dt30s_seed20261113_sparse.npz", "native_field_sha256": "4cde6e9375a258a575baaa0306197db25a9434f9b8bbc06151bd0ff6fe26d0d6", "horizontal_bin_m": 500, "vertical_layers": 52, "transport_dt_s": 30, "particles_per_realization": 88473600, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage14/" }, { "stage": 15, "change": "Terrain and surface exchange", "result_scope": "CPU terrain scenario; new GPU agreement failed", "model_period_h": 360, "physical_model": "Passive stochastic 3-D particles", "meteorology": "Central forecast column; no spatially resolved local weather solver", "source_scope": "Four conditional EIA design outlets, not full city inventory", "conditional_emission_kg": 1626.84, "limitation": "Actual bilinear DSM boundary, contact uptake and reversible/retained stores. Forecast re-release is zero under the assumed wetness gate. The CPU case has only 345,600 primary particles; previous higher-count convergence does not qualify it. Surface chemistry is uncalibrated; wind is not terrain-resolved.", "frozen_UTC": "2026-11-13T10:43:40.745223+00:00", "manifest_sha256": "da8650a8ebb9a2af6a361dcd7b422a7b639a35f51eaa00beff1b53337b57bf5d", "whole_worker_turn_seconds": 6897.353999853134, "worker_agent_proxy_seconds": 1816.423999786377, "worker_data_seconds": 26.102999687194824, "worker_rendering_seconds": 0.0009999275207519531, "worker_other_seconds": 5301.653000593185, "timing_note": "Observed intervals may overlap; Agent is a non-tool wall-clock proxy, not internal inference time.", "native_field": "outputs/terrain_surface_exchange/terrain_conditional_fields.npz", "native_field_sha256": "97427bc5a4ec14686870255d47eff8f2ac9529f64e3940dd409d2443d01d4e95", "horizontal_bin_m": 500, "vertical_layers": 52, "transport_dt_s": 30, "particles_per_realization": 345600, "sampling": "Daily fields; no inferred 360-hour 3-D sequence", "web_view": "stage15/" } ], "physical_data_modified": false }